Think Tank: Iran Could Fire Large Missile Salvos at Israel, Focus on Psychological Warfare

• A Think Tank Institute for the Study of War analysis suggests Iran may launch large missile salvos at Israel.
• The strategy aims to impose psychological effects on Israeli civilians, forcing them to seek shelter and maintaining constant alert.
• Iran's use of cluster munitions reflects its inability to threaten military targets, resorting to psychological impact.
• The US-Israeli combined force has degraded Iran's large-scale missile attack capabilities, leading to spread-out launches.
• IDF strikes on March 27 targeted Iranian nuclear infrastructure, including Arak Heavy Water Production Facility and Ardakan Yellowcake Production Plant.

Key Questions Answered

How might Iran's missile strategy evolve if its capabilities further degrade?

If Iran's missile capabilities degrade, it may prioritize signaling over escalation by using older and mid-tier systems. This strategy could also involve rationing remaining capabilities.

What are the long-term psychological impacts of sustained missile threats on civilians?

The long-term psychological impact of sustained missile threats on civilians includes significant fear and anxiety.

Could this conflict escalate into a broader regional confrontation?

Yes, the conflict has the potential to escalate into a broader regional confrontation.