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Firstpost29-12-2025, 16:53

Dollar-Rupee 2026 Outlook: Forecasts Diverge Amid Global Uncertainty

  • Bank of America Global Research forecasts rupee strengthening to ₹86 by end-2026 due to easing dollar demand.
  • MUFG predicts continued rupee weakness, while Fitch sees recovery towards ₹87 by end-2026 on India's growth.
  • Independent economists and Union Bank of India project rupee in ₹90–92 range if global uncertainty persists.
  • UBS Global Research revised its forecast to USD/INR 90–92 for much of 2026, citing slow trade talks and limited RBI intervention.
  • ING Bank expects rupee to strengthen towards ₹87 by late 2026, driven by India's strong fundamentals and potential US trade deal.

Why It Matters: Rupee faces mixed forecasts for 2026, with volatility expected despite strong Indian fundamentals.

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