Uddhav Thackeray's Path to Mumbai Mayor: 2 Scenarios Without Majority

• Uddhav Thackeray's Shiv Sena (UBT) secured 65 seats, falling short of the 114-seat majority in the 227-member BMC.
• Scenario 1: If the Mumbai mayoral post is reserved for the Scheduled Tribe (ST) category, Sena UBT has two ST corporators, Jitendra Walvi and Priyadarshani Thakare, while BJP and Shinde Sena have none.
• This could allow Sena UBT to secure the mayor post despite lacking a majority, as reservation rules prioritize ST/SC elected corporators.
• Scenario 2: A tacit understanding with BJP could see Thackeray group corporators absent during the mayoral election, reducing the majority requirement to 82.
• This would enable BJP, with 89 corporators, to win the mayoral post independently, with speculation of a Shiv Sainik from Shiv Sena getting the opportunity.

Why It Matters: Uddhav Thackeray could secure Mumbai's mayoral post through ST reservation or a BJP alliance.