In this frame grab from footage circulating on social media from Iran shows protesters taking to the streets despite an intensifying crackdown as the Islamic Republic remains cut off from the rest of the world in Tehran. AP
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Firstpost12-01-2026, 18:43

Iran on the Brink: Who Could Rule if the Regime Falls?

  • Massive protests across Iran challenge Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's rule, marking the first real threat since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.
  • Economic crisis, hyperinflation, and alienated elites contribute to conditions for a potential revolution, as per The Atlantic.
  • Opposition is broadly united across socioeconomic lines, pushing a nationalist narrative against clerical rule.
  • Potential successors include Reza Pahlavi (son of the former Shah), former President Hassan Rouhani, other diplomats, or security forces like the IRGC.
  • Security forces, particularly the IRGC, remain cohesive and loyal, posing a significant hurdle to a successful revolution.

Why It Matters: Iran faces a critical juncture with widespread protests and potential regime change, but the path forward is uncertain.

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