A damaged portion of the terror camp in Pakistan's Muridke near Lahore during Operation Sindoor. File image/Reuters
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Firstpost31-12-2025, 15:00

US Think-Tank Warns of India-Pakistan Conflict by 2026 Amid Rising Terror

  • A US think-tank, Center for Preventive Action (CPA) of the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), predicts a 'moderate likelihood' of renewed India-Pakistan conflict by 2026.
  • The report, "Conflicts to Watch in 2026," attributes the potential conflict to increased "terrorist activity."
  • India and Pakistan engaged in a four-day battle in May, following India's Operation Sindoor in response to the Pahalgam terror attack.
  • The potential conflict is ranked Tier II and is expected to have a 'moderate impact' on US interests, according to the report.
  • The report also flags a 'moderate likelihood' of an armed confrontation between Pakistan and Afghanistan in 2026, driven by rising Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) militant violence.

Why It Matters: US think-tank forecasts moderate likelihood of India-Pakistan conflict by 2026 due to terror.

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