AI-driven copper demand set to surge by 2040
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Firstpost08-01-2026, 12:30

AI Boom Fuels Copper Crisis: Demand to Soar 50% by 2040, Warns S&P Global

  • Global copper demand is projected to surge by nearly 50% by 2040, driven primarily by the rapid expansion of AI, defense, and robotics, according to S&P Global.
  • Annual demand is expected to reach 42 million tonnes by 2040, up from 28 million tonnes in 2025, leading to an annual shortfall of over 10 million tonnes.
  • The accelerating electrification of the global economy, led by AI infrastructure, hyperscale data centers, and industrial robotics, is now the dominant demand driver.
  • Rising geopolitical tensions and increased defense spending by countries like Japan and Germany, alongside the Ukraine conflict, are further tightening copper markets.
  • Chile and Peru are major producers, while China dominates smelting; the United States, a significant importer, faces potential supply strains.

Why It Matters: AI and defense are set to create a severe global copper shortage by 2040, demanding urgent supply solutions.

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