Skymet Warns: 2026 Monsoon May Disappoint Due to El Niño Risk

• Skymet predicts a potentially subpar 2026 southwest monsoon, citing evolving El Niño conditions.
• Jatin Singh, Skymet's Chairman, stated there's over a 60% probability of below-normal rainfall.
• Early climate models and historical patterns link El Niño to weaker Indian monsoons.
• While El Niño is key, other factors like IOD could alter the forecast, with a 30% chance of change.
• Singh warned against complacency, noting recent 'normal' monsoons reflect revised benchmarks.

Why It Matters: Skymet forecasts a high probability of a subpar 2026 monsoon due to El Niño, urging caution.