Monsoon Update: El Niño Threatens Late Arrival, But Expert Offers Hope Amidst Heat

• Meteorologist Manikrao Khule predicts this year's monsoon will be late due to an 80% chance of El Niño's influence.
• Despite El Niño, drought is not guaranteed; a positive 'Indian Ocean Dipole' (IOD) in 2019 led to record rainfall. IOD is currently 'neutral'.
• Unseasonal rains are expected on March 18, 19, and 20, especially on Gudi Padwa in Vidarbha, Marathwada, and Central Maharashtra.
• No major hailstorms are expected until March 22; grape growers and fruit producers are advised not to worry excessively.
• March temperatures will remain average or below average until March 30; intense heat is expected in April-May. Monsoon clarity after April 15.