FILE PHOTO: A man walks past a logo of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the Indian Rupee inside the RBI headquarters in Mumbai, India, December 6, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas/File Photo
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CNBC TV1817-12-2025, 00:08

Delayed US-India Trade Deal Sinks Rupee, Dents Sentiment: Kotak's Banerjee

  • The prolonged delay in the US-India trade deal is a key sentiment drag on the rupee, says Anindya Banerjee of Kotak Securities.
  • Rupee's weakness stems from a combination of capital flows, domestic sentiment, and global macro developments.
  • Despite strong export data, market disappointment over the stalled trade agreement adds to investor caution and risk aversion.
  • Global factors like rising US bond yields and potential yen carry trade unwind are also pressuring emerging market currencies.
  • Banerjee notes the rupee's current underperformance is unusually pronounced compared to historical episodes since 2013.

Why It Matters: Delayed US-India trade deal and global volatility are pressuring the rupee, impacting market sentiment.

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