FILE PHOTO: A man speaks on his mobile phone next to an installation of the Rupee logo and Indian currency coins outside the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) headquarters in Mumbai, India, August 1, 2025. REUTERS/Hemanshi Kamani/File Photo
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CNBC TV1811-12-2025, 16:19

ANZ warns Rupee could hit 91.50 much sooner than FY27 amid structural woes.

  • ANZ projects USD/INR at 91.50 by FY27, with warnings that this level could be reached much sooner.
  • The rupee hit a new all-time low of 90.47 against the dollar, driven by increased importer hedging and fading India-US trade deal optimism.
  • High tariffs are cited as a key structural factor contributing to the rupee's long-term depreciation trend.
  • Short-lived rupee appreciation is expected in early 2026 due to seasonality, but this relief is considered tactical, not structural.
  • Foreign investor sentiment is dampened by India's capital gains and withholding tax regime, with no budget relief anticipated.

Why It Matters: Expect the rupee to weaken further, impacting India's economy and your financial outlook.

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