The logo of Tesla is seen on a Tesla Model Y during Tesla Inc.'s official launch in Bogota, Colombia, November 20, 2025. REUTERS/Luisa Gonzalez
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CNBC TV1827-01-2026, 19:46

Tesla's Stock Soars Despite Plummeting Profit Outlook: A Wall Street Anomaly

  • Tesla's average 12-month price target has risen to $409.49 from $337.99 over the past year, even as its 2026 net income forecast tumbled 56% from $14.1 billion to $6.1 billion.
  • Analysts are increasingly skeptical of Tesla's near-term earnings potential, yet their stock price expectations continue to climb, a "very unusual" dynamic.
  • Tesla trades at over 195 times its expected earnings, making it the most expensive among the Magnificent Seven tech giants and second highest in the S&P 500 Index.
  • The stock's valuation is driven by CEO Elon Musk's vision for humanoid robots and driverless cars, rather than current EV sales or profitability.
  • Investors are keenly awaiting Musk's guidance on AI and robotics progress during the upcoming earnings report, as fundamentals weaken and car sales drop.

Why It Matters: Tesla's stock defies traditional valuation metrics, driven by future vision rather than current profits.

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