Jessie Buckley's Oscar Win for Hamnet Not Guaranteed Yet: Why?

• Jessie Buckley has swept major precursor awards (Golden Globe, BAFTA, SAG, Critics' Choice) for her role in "Hamnet".
• Her portrayal of Agnes Shakespeare has garnered widespread critical acclaim, making her the apparent Best Actress frontrunner for the 2026 Oscars.
• Despite historical precedent suggesting a guaranteed win after such a sweep, her Oscar victory is not yet sealed.
• Factors complicating her win include a resurfaced "cat controversy" clip and strong competition from Emma Stone, Renate Reinsve, Rose Byrne, and Kate Hudson.
• Awards history also shows surprises can happen, as seen with Cate Blanchett's unexpected loss to Michelle Yeoh in 2023.