ITC shares fall 10%: Firm may need to hike prices by at least 15% to offset new excise duty on cigarettes, says brokerage
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Moneycontrol01-01-2026, 14:41

ITC Shares Plunge 10% as New Excise Duty Forces Potential 15% Price Hike

  • ITC shares plummeted 10% to a near three-year low, with Godfrey Phillips India and VST Industries also seeing significant drops, following a new excise duty on cigarettes.
  • The Finance Ministry notified an excise duty of Rs 2,050–8,500 per 1,000 sticks, effective February 1, making cigarettes costlier for consumers.
  • Brokerages like Jefferies and ICICI Securities view the duty as a "clear negative," expecting it to hurt sales volumes and increase overall costs by 22%-28%.
  • ITC may need to hike cigarette prices by at least 15% to offset the new excise duty and the revised 40% GST rate on tobacco products.
  • Experts warn of a substantial near-term deterrent for ITC's cigarette operations, impacting margins and volumes, leading to continued stock volatility.

Why It Matters: New excise duty and GST hike on cigarettes caused ITC shares to fall, forcing potential 15% price increases.

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