Mysterious Polymarket Bettor Wagers $40,000 on Imminent US Strike on Iran

• A Polymarket user, 'mutualdelta', placed a $40,000 bet on a US military strike on Iran occurring by January 14.
• This high-risk wager goes against broader market sentiment, which assigned only a 9% probability to a near-term strike.
• The bet has already lost over $20,000, but a confirmed strike by the deadline would result in a full payout.
• Longer-dated Polymarket contracts show higher probabilities for a US strike by end of January (65%) and June 30 (74%).
• The bet comes amidst heightened geopolitical tensions, Pentagon deliberations, and conflicting signals regarding a strike.

Why It Matters: A Polymarket bettor made a $40,000 contrarian wager on an immediate US strike on Iran despite low market odds.