Kalshi and Polymarket see sharp shifts as traders wager on Panama, Greenland and Iran after Trump’s Venezuela operation.
Business
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Moneycontrol07-01-2026, 02:08

Traders Bet on Trump's Next Target: Panama, Greenland, Iran After Venezuela Action

  • Prediction market traders are increasing bets on further international disruptions following President Trump's action in Venezuela.
  • Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket show a surge in wagers on potential US actions in Panama, Greenland, Iran, Colombia, and Cuba.
  • Odds for Trump 'taking back' the Panama Canal before 2029 rose above 35%, while US control of Greenland odds reached 38%.
  • Analysts suggest Trump is growing more comfortable with military force, indicating high risk-taking in his second term.
  • New markets emerged on US strikes in Colombia, invasion of Cuba, and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei leaving office in Iran.

Why It Matters: Prediction markets signal growing expectation of aggressive US foreign policy under Trump, eyeing new targets.

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