Trump's Tariffs Face Supreme Court Challenge, Traders Predict 73% Overturn Chance

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News18•14-01-2026, 09:37
Trump's Tariffs Face Supreme Court Challenge, Traders Predict 73% Overturn Chance
- •A prediction market, Polymarket, shows traders believe there's a 73% chance the US Supreme Court will overturn Trump's tariffs.
- •The Supreme Court is reviewing whether the Trump administration overstepped its authority by using emergency powers (IEEPA) to impose tariffs.
- •A key question is if importers will receive refunds for payments made if the tariffs are declared illegal.
- •Donald Trump has stated he will explore "other avenues" if the Supreme Court rules against his tariff policy.
- •US Treasury data indicates tariffs significantly boosted customs duty revenue, contributing to a reduced budget deficit in the last quarter.
Why It Matters: Trump's tariffs face a high probability of being overturned by the Supreme Court, impacting US trade and economy.
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