Owaisi's Bihar playbook threatens Mamata's Muslim vote in West Bengal 2026.

• Mamata Banerjee's TMC is concerned about potential fragmentation of the Muslim vote in West Bengal ahead of the 2026 elections.
• The situation mirrors Bihar's Seemanchal, where a split in the Muslim vote weakened the Mahagathbandhan.
• Suspended TMC MLA Humayun Kabir plans a new political outfit, in talks with AIMIM and ISF, aiming to represent Muslims and contest 135 seats.
• Muslim discontent stems from protests over revised OBC lists and the state's U-turn on the Waqf law.
• These developments create an opening for AIMIM and ISF, potentially challenging TMC's traditional hold on the Muslim vote.

Why It Matters: Owaisi's Bihar playbook threatens to fragment Bengal's Muslim vote, impacting Mamata's 2026.