Iran's Political Shift: India to Gain, China to Lose? Trump's Role Examined

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News18•14-01-2026, 12:54
Iran's Political Shift: India to Gain, China to Lose? Trump's Role Examined
- •US President Donald Trump has encouraged Iranian protestors, promising support and accountability for those suppressing dissent.
- •Foreign policy expert Robinder Sachdev believes a new Iranian government, potentially backed by Trump, would significantly benefit India through increased trade and lifted sanctions, boosting its economy.
- •Currently, China's trade with Iran is 20 times larger than India's, with a $400 billion deal for oil and investment, making China Iran's largest oil buyer.
- •India's strategic Chabahar Port lease for 10 years aims to bypass Pakistan for trade with Afghanistan and Central Asia; a new Iranian government could accelerate its development.
- •Experts predict a global oil oversupply by 2026, potentially dropping prices to $50 per barrel if Iran and Venezuela produce at full capacity, saving India billions in import costs and lowering domestic fuel prices.
Why It Matters: A change in Iran's government could shift geopolitical dynamics, benefiting India economically and strategically while challenging China's dominance.
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