Red Alert: Major Scientific Error in Sea Level Projections; Cities Face Earlier Submergence. Which Areas Are Most Vulnerable?
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Red Alert: Scientists' Major Sea Level Error Threatens Coastal Cities Sooner Than Predicted
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News18•05-03-2026, 16:13
Red Alert: Scientists' Major Sea Level Error Threatens Coastal Cities Sooner Than Predicted
•Wageningen University researchers found 90% of 385 studies ignored local data, relying on 'Global Geoid Models' for sea level.
•Ignoring factors like wind, currents, temperature, and salinity led to discrepancies of 500-700 cm, invalidating coastal protection plans.
•New calculations show a 1-meter sea rise submerges 37% more coastal area, affecting 132 million people sooner than predicted.
•IPCC reports and global climate policies may be based on these incorrect models, creating an 'interdisciplinary blind spot'.
•Mumbai, Chennai, Kochi, Kolkata, Jakarta, Bangkok, Ho Chi Minh City, Maldives, New York, Miami face imminent threat; Lakshadweep and Andaman and Nicobar are losing land.