Asteroid 2024 YR4’s Impact Risk Drops, But Moon Collision Possible (Representative Image: Canva)
Science
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Moneycontrol31-01-2026, 17:41

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Moon Impact in 2032 Could Trigger Earth Fireballs, Satellite Risks

  • Asteroid 2024 YR4, approximately 60 meters across, has a 4% chance of hitting the Moon on December 22, 2032.
  • A lunar impact could create a 1 km wide crater, molten rock pools, and a magnitude 5.0 moonquake, observable by telescopes like James Webb.
  • Earth could experience hundreds of visible fireballs per hour days after impact due to lunar ejecta entering the atmosphere.
  • While serious harm is unlikely, satellite networks face increased collision risks from orbital debris.
  • Space agencies are considering deflection, but scientists see a unique opportunity for lunar geology research if impact occurs.

Why It Matters: A 2032 asteroid impact on the Moon could offer scientific insights but poses risks of fireballs and satellite damage on Earth.

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