Iran at Crossroads: US Seeks Nuclear Deal, Israel Pushes Regime Change Amid Unrest

• Iran faces its gravest crisis in decades due to economic collapse, political discontent, and social unrest, exacerbated by sanctions and mismanagement.
• The United States aims to leverage Iran's instability to force a return to nuclear deal negotiations on its own terms.
• Israel views the current turmoil as a unique opportunity to remove the Islamic Republic's leadership entirely.
• External actors, particularly the US and Israel, are actively shaping the unrest, though with differing end goals.
• Despite intense pressure, the Iranian regime is likely to survive, albeit significantly weakened, with potential internal power shifts.

Why It Matters: US and Israel diverge on Iran strategy: Washington seeks nuclear deal, Tel Aviv pushes for regime change.