Iran's Crackdown: What It Means and What Comes Next Amidst Unrest

• Iran's streets have quieted after nationwide protests, but the calm is imposed by repression, not resolution.
• Economic unrest in Tehran's bazaars escalated into calls for regime change, with some demanding the return of Reza Pahlavi.
• Security forces responded decisively, including a sweeping internet shutdown, with reports of nearly 3,000 deaths.
• US intervention threats receded, but regional tensions and Israel's confrontation with Tehran remain unresolved.
• The regime faces a broken social contract due to intense violence, making incremental reform incredible for many Iranians.

Why It Matters: Iran's regime has suppressed protests, but underlying grievances and a damaged social contract persist, risking future unrest.