Jamaat Faces Existential Crisis as BNP's Resurgence Shrinks Influence Before Polls

• Jamaat-e-Islami fears marginalization as BNP's projected vote share (42-45%) after Tarique Rahman's return dwarfs its 8-10% support.
• The party sees an "existential crisis," accusing interim head Muhammad Yunus of facilitating Tarique Rahman's political rehabilitation via a June 2025 London meeting.
• Jamaat objects to overseas election discussions and claims uneven enforcement of rules compared to BNP's mass rallies.
• Indian intelligence suggests BNP's post-return rallies in Dhaka, Bogura, and Chattogram consolidate voters, reducing Jamaat's bargaining power.
• A resurgent BNP threatens to redefine Bangladesh's opposition landscape, potentially ending Jamaat's role as a power broker.

Why It Matters: BNP's resurgence under Tarique Rahman threatens Jamaat-e-Islami's political relevance in Bangladesh.