Japan Election: Five Reasons Why Snap Poll is Most Unpredictable in Years

World
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Moneycontrol•29-01-2026, 21:14
Japan Election: Five Reasons Why Snap Poll is Most Unpredictable in Years
- •Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi called a snap lower house election for February 8, deemed highly unpredictable by analysts.
- •Takaichi's high personal approval ratings (over 60%) contrast sharply with her ruling LDP's lower support (35%), raising doubts about vote translation.
- •Younger voters strongly back Takaichi but have historically low turnout, unlike older generations who are LDP's traditional base.
- •LDP faces election without long-time coalition partner Komeito, which has joined the opposition, potentially shifting millions of votes.
- •Far-right Sanseito party challenges LDP by fielding 190 candidates, targeting conservative voters and aiming to build on past gains.
Why It Matters: Japan's snap election is highly unpredictable due to PM Takaichi's popularity gap, youth vote unreliability, coalition split, far-right challenge, and winter timing.
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