•Pakistan may face a wheat shortfall of 2 to 2.2 million tonnes this year, according to a USDA report.
•Tensions with Afghanistan and strains over the Indus Waters Treaty are affecting water availability and farming activity.
•Unrest in Balochistan, a major wheat-producing region, has impacted agricultural activity.
•Reduced water flow in the Indus river system (estimated 20% decline) and limited storage capacity increase drought vulnerability.
•Area under wheat cultivation declined from 10.37 million hectares to 9.1 million hectares due to water scarcity and delayed support price announcement.
