Trump's Fed Chair remarks shift odds: Warsh up, Hassett down on Kalshi

• Prediction markets reacted sharply after President Trump signaled Kevin Warsh as a top contender for the next US Federal Reserve Chair.
• Betting odds for former Fed governor Kevin Warsh surged to 40% on Kalshi, up from 15%, following Trump's remarks.
• The implied probability for National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett briefly dropped below 60%, though he remains a serious candidate and market leader.
• Trump stated, "I think you have Kevin and Kevin. They’re both — I think the two Kevins are great," indicating both Warsh and Hassett are strong candidates.
• Other previously considered candidates like Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, and Rick Rieder have been effectively priced out by Kalshi.

Why It Matters: Trump's signals on Fed Chair candidates are shifting market expectations for US economy.