Trump-data mismatch on US economy: Growth stays low, budget deficit to hit record $1.85 tn. (File/AFP)
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Firstpost12-02-2026, 15:11

US Budget Deficit to Hit Record $1.85 Trillion Amid Low Growth, CBO Warns

  • US projected to run a record budget deficit of $1.853 trillion in fiscal year 2026, reaching 5.8% of GDP.
  • CBO estimates deficit-to-GDP ratio to average 6.1% over the next decade, rising to 6.7% by FY2036.
  • Real GDP growth expected at 2.2% in 2026, then easing to 1.8% annually, significantly below Trump administration's 3-4% projections.
  • Deficits are structural, driven by aging demographics (Social Security, Medicare) and surging interest costs, not just crisis spending.
  • Net interest payments on federal debt to double to $2 trillion by FY2035; total public debt to hit $56.152 trillion (120% of GDP) by 2036.

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