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CNBC TV1806-01-2026, 16:04

India's FY26 GDP Growth Projected at 7.5% Real, 8.3% Nominal: CNBC-TV18 Poll

  • CNBC-TV18 poll projects India's FY26 real GDP growth at 7.5% and nominal GDP growth at 8.3%.
  • Ministry of Statistics (MoSPI) to release first advance GDP estimate on January 7, crucial for Budget 2026 calculations.
  • Nominal GDP growth is key for Budget math, influencing fiscal deficit and potential tax collections.
  • Despite lower projected nominal growth (8.3% vs. 10.1% last year), a higher FY25 actual GDP base keeps fiscal calculations on track.
  • Budget expected to assume 9.7% nominal GDP growth for the coming year, with a new GDP series potentially announced after Feb 28.

Why It Matters: India's FY26 GDP growth projections are vital for Budget planning, with nominal growth being key.

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