Myanmar's 'Sham Election' Risks India's Border Stability

• Myanmar's military junta will hold a "sham election" on December 28, widely seen as an attempt to validate its rule rather than restore democracy.
• The election is deemed non-credible due to the junta dismantling democratic institutions, imprisoning opposition, dissolving the NLD, excluding voters, and altering the electoral system.
• The vote will only occur in parts of Myanmar, as vast areas remain conflict zones controlled by resistance forces, excluding millions of potential voters.
• India faces significant consequences, including potential refugee inflows, increased border instability, insurgent spillover, and stalled connectivity projects like the Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit Project.
• The election could deepen public dissatisfaction, expose internal military divisions, intensify conflict, and further increase China's strategic influence in Myanmar, challenging India's regional goals.

Why It Matters: Myanmar's election directly impacts India's border stability, security, and regional influence.