Oil Price Pressures May Hit Trade, Inflation, But Macro Remains Resilient: INVasset PMS
MMoneycontrol•02-03-2026, 06:29
Oil Price Pressures May Hit Trade, Inflation, But Macro Remains Resilient: INVasset PMS
- •Anirudh Garg of INVasset PMS states that prolonged oil price pressure could impact trade balances and inflation for oil importers like India.
- •He believes current macroeconomic conditions show resilience, and earnings risk is selective unless crude prices persist at elevated levels.
- •A full-fledged US-Iran war is a low-probability but high-impact risk, with current actions appearing calibrated.
- •Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz could sharply lift crude prices, affecting fuel costs and headline inflation.
- •Energy, defense, and cybersecurity sectors are in focus, while aviation, paint, and tire industries are vulnerable to sustained fuel price increases.
