IMD's Dire Monsoon Warning: El-Nino Threatens Water Scarcity, Drought for India

• El-Nino conditions are likely to develop during July-August-September, potentially leading to a weak monsoon in India.
• US NOAA indicates a 48% chance of El-Nino forming in the second half of the monsoon; IMD also predicts higher probability during June-July-August.
• A weak monsoon could cause water shortages, higher summer temperatures, and drought-like situations, impacting India's agriculture and economy.
• Past El-Nino (2023-24) led to record global temperatures; a potential 2026 El-Nino could set new records due to climate change.
• Monsoon is vital for India: 51% agricultural land, 40% output, 47% population depend on it; impacts water supply, economy, and inflation.

Why It Matters: IMD warns of potential El-Nino impact, threatening India's monsoon, agriculture, and water security.